Offered as one intelligent view on a complex situation. I don't know enough about politics in the Middle East to judge whether or not we ought to accept this analysis, but I do have a great deal of respect for Kenan Malik. Also, the analysis shows obvious knowledge of trends and details, and is inherently plausible.
Whether or not it will turn out to be correct is another thing, but if you're trying to get a handle on the situation in Egypt this article is a good place to start.
Juan Cole is an excellent resource on the Middle East as well. Here's his reasoning for why the Tehran 1979 parallel is probably not accurate
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